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ALCS Rotation Set + Opinion Poll

October 13, 2010 2 comments

Yankees:

Game 1:CC Sabathia (21-7, 3.18 ERA)
Game 2: Phil Hughes (18-8, 4.18 ERA)
Game 3: Andy Pettitte (11-3, 3.28 ERA)
Game 4: A.J. Burnett (10-15, 5.26 ERA)

Rangers:

Game 1: C.J. Wilson (15-8, 3.35 ERA)
Game 2: Colby Lewis (12-13, 3.72 ERA)
Game 3: Cliff Lee (12-9, 3.18 ERA)
Game 4: Tommy Hunter (13-4, 3.73 ERA)

With Games 1 and 2 in Texas, I like having Hughes at 2 instead of 3, as it plays to his strengths.  He has better numbers on the road (3.47 ERA on the road vs. 4.66 ERA at home), and has pitched well at the Ballpark in Arlington (the near no-hitter in 2007 comes to mind).   The flyballs he gives up at Yankee Stadium sometimes turn into cheapie home runs (20 HR at home vs. 5 HR on the road).

Should the series go to games 5, 6, or 7, I see it repeating as CC, Hughes, and Pettitte.

Of course, should the Yankees go down 2-1 or worse lose the first 3 games, I don’t think there’s a chance that Burnett starts game 4, we probably see the big man on short rest, something we’ve all seen him do, whether with the Brewers in 08 or last year with the 3-man rotation in 09.

While the Yankees have a .655 OPS against Lee since 2007, the Rangers have a .660 OPS against Sabathia.  Something to think about how they feel in Texas, has to be somewhat similar to all the Lee hoopla in Game 3 in the New York media.  Having Pettitte face Lee is no wash, so you’re simply not just throwing Game 3.

We as Yankees fans should be counting our blessings that the ALDS matchup between the Rays and Rangers went five games, now we may only have to face Lee once in Game 3.  He would go again in Game 7, so let’s hope we take it in 5 or 6.

Good work, Girardi, this guy approves.

So, what’s your ideal rotation for the ALCS, did Girardi make the right move, or would you have gone with something else?  Vote and share your thoughts

Yanks Reach Playoffs…Now What?

September 29, 2010 Leave a comment

the party animals.

With last night’s win in Toronto, the Yankees’ magic number is now 0.

Girardi’s deicision as manager now depend on whether he wants to try and catch Tampa Bay for the division title and possible home-field advantage, or rest his starters and pitching staff.  My best guess is he tries to come up with a plan to somehow do both, but I think the smart choice would be to bank on giving his starters days off, and be at full strength for the Division Series.

My friend Ant Scarcello and I discussed this after last night’s game, and weighed the pros and cons of each path as the regular seasons draws to a close.

  • CC in a relief appearance (most likely Friday), try and save some bullets for the postseason.
  • Plenty of Golson, Thames, or Kearns in right so Swisher can rest that knee that has hobbled him for the past few weeks.
  • Pena, Nune, and Cervelli in the same lineup.. yikes!
  • AJ gettings one last start to prove he’s worthy of at least an ALCS appearance.  He won’t start with the 3 man rotation for the Division Series.
  • With Thursday an off day, tonight’s game should be 9 reserves.  Javy is already in for Andy, so why stop there?
  • a rest-up rotation and lineup for the series at Boston, which will lack the intensity (and hopefully game-time length) of a usual series against your rivals.

Obviously the Yankees would want to win the division, but you have to look at the big picture, afterall, does home field advantage really matter if you get knocked out in the first round because your stars didn’t get the proper rest?

Here’s the manager’s plan of action, according to Mark Feinsand of the Daily News, in his tweet last night @BloggingBomber s: girardi on resting guys: “I still want our division and I want home-field advantage, but I can see there are some tired bodies out here.”

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